PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

magickD3MiAN

0xa66bc2b52667f2844e9f76100806028d30c60b8b

Realised P&L
$678.58
Volume
$495.0k
Markets traded
300
Open portfolio
$76.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded300
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher? · Yes0.1870.125$63.22−$31.47
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher? · Yes0.4500.415$8.30−$0.70
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0070.002$3.50−$12.81
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · No0.5900.635$1.56+$0.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 06:25Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?BUY0.12$2.40
10-02 11:13Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.54$0.84
09-22 15:57Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026?SELL0.04$1.72
09-22 15:19Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026?SELL0.27$27.27
09-22 14:12Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026?BUY0.3$43.21
09-19 12:45Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?BUY0.28$1.40
09-16 04:47Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 17, 2026?SELL0.79$2.45
09-14 12:58Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.002$3.58
09-14 00:35Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.002$1.86
09-10 16:05Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.003$5.00
09-09 06:52Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.007$2.90
09-07 17:11Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.004$8.49
09-07 14:19Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.004$17.24
09-06 11:56Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.003$11.32
09-06 11:53Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.003$22.96