PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Igual-DAD

0xa64a901b2b7d827acaa1d05f5461a27e0f669854

Realised P&L
$-4.29
Volume
$4.5k
Markets traded
89
Open portfolio
$30.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded89
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Aday Mara win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes0.0070.020$13.63+$8.63
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes0.7100.835$8.35+$1.25
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes0.2960.111$3.31−$5.56
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes0.0210.025$2.55+$0.45
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1620.034$1.24−$4.76
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3000.175$0.58−$0.42
Will Bennett Stirtz win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes0.0070.002$0.54−$1.96
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.2200.085$0.39−$0.61
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.2100.045$0.21−$0.79
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump say "Two weeks" this week? (April 12) · Yes0.8500.000$0.00−$1.00
Greece vs. Spain · Spain0.6800.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00−$1.00
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$1.00
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 15:19Will Sergio De Larrea win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?SELL0.0010900009$0.61
10-05 15:17Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.71$7.10
10-05 15:17Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.021$2.10
10-05 15:16Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.296$8.88
10-03 20:29Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.999$3.70
10-03 20:26Will Spain vs. Czechia end in a draw?SELL0.075$8.33
10-03 19:52Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-03 19:51Will Spain vs. Czechia end in a draw?BUY0.0089999999$1.00
10-03 19:51Will Czechia win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.002$1.00
08-31 14:55Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.036$0.37
08-31 14:55New pandemic in 2026?SELL0.05$0.36
08-31 14:46Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5$1.00
08-31 14:43Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.963$1.03
08-31 14:41Will Sergio De Larrea win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?BUY0.0035999982$2.00
08-31 14:40Will Bennett Stirtz win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?BUY0.0069613644$2.50