0xa61df336f3c1c676ed0544c30ba36200063c7017
0xa61df336f3c1c676ed0544c30ba36200063c7017
- Realised P&L
- $18.36
- Volume
- $557.80
- Markets traded
- 207
- Open portfolio
- $6.50
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded207
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.250 | $1.56 | −$0.44 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.450 | 0.490 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.330 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · No | 0.670 | 0.675 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.225 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.605 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.03at 0.227Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?
- +$5.09at 0.288Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?
- +$4.38at 0.321Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$4.25at 0.320US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 19:15 | Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:11 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:10 | Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:10 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 11:01 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 03:01 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.3479999053 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:48 | Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 15:54 | Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 11:44 | Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 07:52 | Wingate & Finchley FC vs. Bedford Town FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 13:13 | Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 20:04 | Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 17:28 | Will El Salvador win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 15:35 | Costa Rica vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 08:30 | Racing Club Montevideo vs. CA Penarol Montevideo: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |