betterbettor86
0xa61b2981fe679b2a34608db90bc4057569219d74
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $1.60M
- Markets traded
- 545
- Open portfolio
- $580.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded545
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$471.98at 0.500Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
- +$396.48at 0.967US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$387.08at 0.288Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30?
- +$365.18at 0.200Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
- +$356.87at 0.653US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 23:47 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.35 | $360.80 |
| 10-07 23:21 | Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.41 | $12.30 |
| 10-07 22:54 | Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $75M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.056 | $20.17 |
| 10-07 22:47 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.22 | $60.50 |
| 10-07 19:17 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4 | $80.00 |
| 10-07 15:32 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.14 | $71.62 |
| 10-07 14:17 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.37 | $34.64 |
| 10-07 14:02 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.16 | $178.43 |
| 10-07 13:21 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.681 | $15.66 |
| 10-07 08:01 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | SELL | 0.036 | $3.60 |
| 10-07 08:00 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | SELL | 0.45 | $26.83 |
| 10-07 05:46 | Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.37 | $98.05 |
| 10-07 05:45 | Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.21 | $19.28 |
| 10-06 16:24 | Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.25 | $7.50 |
| 10-06 09:00 | Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.48 |