PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

betterbettor86

0xa61b2981fe679b2a34608db90bc4057569219d74

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$1.60M
Markets traded
545
Open portfolio
$580.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded545
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 23:47Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.35$360.80
10-07 23:21Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?SELL0.41$12.30
10-07 22:54Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $75M one day after launch?SELL0.056$20.17
10-07 22:47Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.22$60.50
10-07 19:17Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.4$80.00
10-07 15:32Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.14$71.62
10-07 14:17Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.37$34.64
10-07 14:02Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.16$178.43
10-07 13:21Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.681$15.66
10-07 08:01US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?SELL0.036$3.60
10-07 08:00US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?SELL0.45$26.83
10-07 05:46Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?BUY0.37$98.05
10-07 05:45Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?BUY0.21$19.28
10-06 16:24Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?BUY0.25$7.50
10-06 09:00Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.001$1.48