PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Patomillones

0xa61b1499ce6ba4a4f2da379d01bb9cc7581583f5

Realised P&L
$-94.91
Volume
$15.1k
Markets traded
176
Open portfolio
$12.58

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded176
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? · No0.1220.233$1.91+$0.91
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.1600.235$1.47+$0.47
Will Elon tweet 960-999 times in September 2026? · Yes0.0770.086$1.12+$0.12
Will Elon tweet 920-959 times in September 2026? · Yes0.1200.130$1.08+$0.08
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3100.305$0.98$0.02
Chargers vs. Bills · Chargers0.2600.255$0.98$0.02
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · No0.1710.167$0.97$0.03
Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026? · Yes0.1900.185$0.97$0.03
Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? · Yes0.2500.235$0.94$0.06
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · Yes0.2600.230$0.88$0.12
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.2900.245$0.84$0.16
Will $ANSEM reach $0.8 before 2027? · Yes0.4500.190$0.42$0.58
Noche UFC: Dan Ige vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Dan Ige0.2100.000$0.00$1.00
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Arizona Diamondbacks0.2200.000$0.00$1.00
Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces · Washington Mystics0.2800.000$0.00$2.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 01:05Chargers vs. BillsBUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-22 01:04Giants vs. RamsSELL0.03$0.11
09-21 12:46Will Elon tweet 920-959 times in September 2026?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
09-21 12:462026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.3099999473$1.00
09-21 12:46Giants vs. RamsBUY0.2699999784$1.00
09-21 12:46Will Elon tweet 960-999 times in September 2026?BUY0.0769999999$1.00
09-21 12:46Will $ANSEM reach $0.8 before 2027?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
09-21 12:46Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
09-21 12:46Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.2899999884$1.00
09-21 12:46Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
09-21 12:46Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?BUY0.1709999771$1.00
09-19 12:45Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.04$0.31
09-17 13:49Discord IPO before 2027?SELL0.101$0.32
09-17 13:49Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?SELL0.18$0.58
09-17 13:49Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?SELL0.091$0.72