Needtoneet
0xa6085aa9075fdbf3ec9ea8e9c09e6d6c4fd107b3
- Realised P&L
- $355.41
- Volume
- $20.7k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $863.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$483.93at 0.174Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$287.32at 0.389Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$119.84at 0.455Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
- +$88.32at 0.102Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
- +$65.14at 0.440Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 22:27 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | SELL | 0.3774249758 | $42.89 |
| 07-19 22:03 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.4399999975 | $50.00 |
| 07-16 21:55 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999992 | $200.00 |
| 07-15 08:04 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31? | BUY | 0.1152306052 | $50.00 |
| 07-14 17:47 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999979 | $50.00 |
| 07-13 09:52 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.04 |
| 07-13 09:52 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12? | SELL | 0.15 | $77.25 |
| 07-12 21:06 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.3994754887 | $100.00 |
| 07-12 20:35 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6653426016 | $100.00 |
| 07-12 20:30 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.2857705879 | $145.78 |
| 07-12 18:15 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4199999977 | $100.00 |
| 07-12 18:01 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12? | BUY | 0.0970401251 | $50.00 |
| 07-11 20:10 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | BUY | 0.3599999977 | $50.00 |
| 07-11 20:07 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1669999976 | $50.00 |
| 07-10 20:12 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.1674999976 | $50.00 |