dipanshu-971
0xa5e1764a980eb7945238f23ab6b27a24d6963094
- Realised P&L
- $1.73
- Volume
- $98.48
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $10.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.48at 0.410Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
- +$1.40at 0.410Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?
- +$0.98at 0.670Will anyone say "Professional" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call?
- +$0.67at 0.410Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?
- +$0.57at 0.779Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 09:43 | Will Trump say "Spoiler" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 09:43 | Will Trump say "Hormuz" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 09:42 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 09:39 | Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 09:32 | Rahul Gandhi arrested by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 09:27 | Will Bank of America say "Merrill" 3+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 09:25 | Will Bank of America say "Rate Cut" or "Cut Rate" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 09:13 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 09:13 | Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 10-13 09:00 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699994606 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 08:59 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6719999973 | $2.00 |
| 06-15 16:32 | Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 06-15 16:30 | Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30? | BUY | 0.7699997035 | $2.00 |
| 06-15 16:29 | Will 1+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 06-15 16:28 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during meeting with French President? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |