PanSolyak
0xa5c2f1ebf995f8fd62c02d493913087e66b81bbe
- Realised P&L
- $-74.67
- Volume
- $27.8k
- Markets traded
- 332
- Open portfolio
- $574.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded332
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$142.94at 0.306Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
- +$120.55at 0.145Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?
- +$104.86at 0.206Will Trump and Putin not meet?
- +$85.66at 0.215Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?
- +$71.89at 0.789Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:44 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | BUY | 0.3361344538 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 20:27 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 23:44 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999794 | $7.00 |
| 08-03 23:42 | Will Donald Tusk visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 14:10 | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 14:32 | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 19:52 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0729999331 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 19:29 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 19:22 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 23:21 | Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0427560724 | $1.65 |
| 07-30 23:18 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 09:25 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.5943396168 | $21.00 |
| 07-29 09:30 | Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0453688766 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 19:57 | Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 21:44 | NATO downs another Russian drone by July 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |