PanSolyak
0xa5c2f1ebf995f8fd62c02d493913087e66b81bbe
- Realised P&L
- $-248.00
- Volume
- $31.3k
- Markets traded
- 365
- Open portfolio
- $616.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded365
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$142.94at 0.306Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
- +$120.55at 0.145Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?
- +$104.86at 0.206Will Trump and Putin not meet?
- +$85.66at 0.215Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?
- +$71.89at 0.789Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 09:02 | Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999925 | $3.00 |
| 09-23 22:06 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 21:11 | Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6020608181 | $30.00 |
| 09-23 21:09 | Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 20:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3829999351 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 20:55 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 08:47 | EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 18:26 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 15:23 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 14:24 | CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 14:18 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999793 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 18:22 | Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.83 |
| 09-20 14:07 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 14:06 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.65 | $13.92 |
| 09-20 14:06 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $15.00 |