0xa5bDf1bb417b73C11E3396fE6F0820279A576bbf-1778024347711
0xa5bdf1bb417b73c11e3396fe6f0820279a576bbf
- Realised P&L
- $13.00
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $430.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.13at 0.387Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
- +$3.84at 0.922Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
- +$3.20at 0.680Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$2.62at 0.738SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
- +$1.50at 0.850US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 04:05 | Will Tame Impala headline Coachella 2027? | BUY | 0.64 | $64.00 |
| 10-26 03:54 | Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 10-26 02:21 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BUY | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 10-23 00:18 | Will Project Hail Mary win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.889 | $6.26 |
| 10-23 00:15 | Will Tame Impala headline Coachella 2027? | BUY | 0.63 | $31.50 |
| 10-14 08:41 | Will Dune: Part Three win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.79 | $15.80 |
| 10-11 00:05 | Will Drake headline Coachella 2027? | BUY | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 10-11 00:03 | Will Dua Lipa headline Coachella 2027? | BUY | 0.65 | $65.00 |
| 10-08 05:54 | Will Dune: Part Three win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.79 | $15.80 |
| 10-08 05:45 | Will Waymo launch in New Orleans, LA by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 09-30 09:16 | Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos be the top Spotify album for 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 09-26 04:09 | Will Cristopher Sánchez lead MLB in pitcher wins for the 2026 season? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 22:06 | Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.59 | $23.60 |
| 09-15 01:13 | Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? | BUY | 0.92 | $17.48 |
| 09-15 01:13 | Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? | BUY | 0.919 | $10.11 |