PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa5bDf1bb417b73C11E3396fE6F0820279A576bbf-1778024347711

0xa5bdf1bb417b73c11e3396fe6f0820279a576bbf

Realised P&L
$9.20
Volume
$429.00
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$68.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? · Yes0.4300.385$19.25$2.25
Blue wave in 2026? · Yes0.8000.800$16.00+$0.00
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? · No0.8500.795$15.90$1.10
Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026? · No0.2100.255$5.10+$0.90
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? · Yes0.2600.165$3.30$1.90
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 25%-30%? · Yes0.1500.152$3.05+$0.05
Will Robert Pattinson win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0860.096$1.91+$0.19
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December? · Yes0.1200.075$1.50$0.90
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · Yes0.1600.075$1.50$1.70
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · OpenAI0.0520.060$1.20+$0.16
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? · No0.2000.000$0.00$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 01:13Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?BUY0.92$17.48
09-15 01:13Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?BUY0.919$10.11
09-11 05:22Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?BUY0.43$21.50
09-08 23:58Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?BUY0.85$17.00
09-08 03:39Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?BUY0.21$4.20
09-08 03:36Will Robert Pattinson win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.086$1.72
08-29 19:59Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?BUY0.15$3.00
08-29 08:38Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?BUY0.26$5.20
08-29 06:58Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?BUY0.052$1.04
08-26 21:27Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?BUY0.12$2.40
08-26 21:13Blue wave in 2026?BUY0.8$16.00
06-10 02:56SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?SELL0.61$6.10
06-10 02:55SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?SELL0.64$6.40
06-10 02:43Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.5$5.00
06-10 02:15SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?BUY0.2$2.00