0xa5bDf1bb417b73C11E3396fE6F0820279A576bbf-1778024347711
0xa5bdf1bb417b73c11e3396fe6f0820279a576bbf
- Realised P&L
- $9.20
- Volume
- $429.00
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $68.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.13at 0.387Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
- +$3.84at 0.922Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
- +$3.20at 0.680Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$2.62at 0.738SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
- +$1.50at 0.850US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 01:13 | Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? | BUY | 0.92 | $17.48 |
| 09-15 01:13 | Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? | BUY | 0.919 | $10.11 |
| 09-11 05:22 | Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $21.50 |
| 09-08 23:58 | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 09-08 03:39 | Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 09-08 03:36 | Will Robert Pattinson win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.086 | $1.72 |
| 08-29 19:59 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 25%-30%? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 08-29 08:38 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 08-29 06:58 | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | BUY | 0.052 | $1.04 |
| 08-26 21:27 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 08-26 21:13 | Blue wave in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 06-10 02:56 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | SELL | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 06-10 02:55 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | SELL | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 06-10 02:43 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 02:15 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |