0xa5bcdd31c6135ac39237c7a2213baad573f310ad
0xa5bcdd31c6135ac39237c7a2213baad573f310ad
- Realised P&L
- $-265.16
- Volume
- $74.0k
- Markets traded
- 135
- Open portfolio
- $355.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded135
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$417.00at 0.360Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$140.00at 0.350S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?
- +$68.25at 0.437Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$60.00at 0.400Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on March 6?
- +$31.00at 0.435Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-01 18:45 | Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 03-27 07:22 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | SELL | 0.349 | $1.45 |
| 03-22 06:44 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.18 | $20.52 |
| 03-22 02:50 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.109 | $5.12 |
| 03-22 01:50 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.19 | $20.33 |
| 03-22 01:03 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.80 |
| 03-21 22:32 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.2 | $9.00 |
| 03-21 21:53 | BitBoy convicted? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.49 |
| 03-20 20:17 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $12.00 |
| 03-19 20:24 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | SELL | 0.281 | $0.56 |
| 03-19 19:55 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | SELL | 0.281 | $2.81 |
| 03-19 18:11 | Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | SELL | 0.176 | $33.20 |
| 03-18 20:05 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | SELL | 0.183 | $2.72 |
| 03-10 12:25 | Will Breece Hall be traded? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.43 |
| 03-10 00:21 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March? | SELL | 0.49 | $9.80 |