PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sdvfwe

0xa59812a5fa433031c68f7655ec1823d03e592ff3

Realised P&L
$7.5k
Volume
$147.3k
Markets traded
369
Open portfolio
$6.42

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded369
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.5200.140$2.80$7.60
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · Yes0.0500.025$2.55$2.45
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · OpenAI0.4800.059$1.07$7.71
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$10.80
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June? · Yes0.5580.000$0.00$139.50
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$3.00
Pepsi (PEP) Q2 organic revenue growth 2.5%-3%? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$1.20
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? · No0.5100.000$0.00$51.00
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 5? · No0.5380.000$0.00$33.43
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? · Yes0.5270.000$0.00$73.11
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$0.60
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$15.00
Will Maxx Crosby play for Los Angeles Rams next? · Yes0.0770.000$0.00$3.79
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$5.40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? · No0.7250.000$0.00$7.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-07 10:29Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?BUY0.04$4.00
05-28 06:07Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?BUY0.15$15.00
05-28 06:07Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?BUY0.14$1.12
05-13 01:46Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?BUY0.1$4.44
04-24 15:06US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?SELL0.67$147.39
04-20 06:46Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 58 million views on day 2?SELL0.827$82.70
04-20 06:45Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?SELL0.9102333489$136.53
04-09 06:51Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.163$8.15
04-09 04:29Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?SELL0.71$35.50
04-09 04:28Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-09?SELL0.6$30.00
04-09 04:26Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.628075$125.62
04-03 10:34Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by April 30, 2026?SELL0.89$8.90
04-01 14:05Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?SELL0.14$5.60
04-01 14:05Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?SELL0.3$3.90
04-01 11:45Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?SELL0.109$5.45