sdvfwe
0xa59812a5fa433031c68f7655ec1823d03e592ff3
- Realised P&L
- $7.5k
- Volume
- $147.3k
- Markets traded
- 369
- Open portfolio
- $6.42
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded369
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.550Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-04?
- +$1.5kat 0.830Nets vs. Lakers
- +$1.5kat 0.680Blue Jays vs. Rockies
- +$1.1kat 0.870Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
- +$700.00at 0.720Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2025-09-13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-07 10:29 | Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 05-28 06:07 | Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 05-28 06:07 | Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.12 |
| 05-13 01:46 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.44 |
| 04-24 15:06 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $147.39 |
| 04-20 06:46 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 58 million views on day 2? | SELL | 0.827 | $82.70 |
| 04-20 06:45 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | SELL | 0.9102333489 | $136.53 |
| 04-09 06:51 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.163 | $8.15 |
| 04-09 04:29 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | SELL | 0.71 | $35.50 |
| 04-09 04:28 | Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-09? | SELL | 0.6 | $30.00 |
| 04-09 04:26 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.628075 | $125.62 |
| 04-03 10:34 | Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 04-01 14:05 | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | SELL | 0.14 | $5.60 |
| 04-01 14:05 | Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $3.90 |
| 04-01 11:45 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.109 | $5.45 |