PolyBot

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Traders

0xa588fb0cef4c5b2b3973d0e8a4047efac0737bfe

0xa588fb0cef4c5b2b3973d0e8a4047efac0737bfe

Realised P&L
$37.77
Volume
$7.8k
Markets traded
93
Open portfolio
$531.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded93
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.7900.875$332.27+$32.28
QFEX FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.1800.315$131.25+$56.25
QFEX FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.0970.255$61.45+$38.05
QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.2600.380$6.49+$2.05
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? · No0.0010.001$0.25−$0.25
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Elimination Round · Aurora0.4090.000$0.00−$19.33
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner · Nigma Galaxy0.3800.000$0.00−$14.47
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner · Team Spirit0.3020.000$0.00−$47.21
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner · Team Liquid0.5700.000$0.00−$38.96
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner · Team Spirit0.4300.000$0.00−$48.38
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage · Xtreme Gaming0.4700.000$0.00−$9.68
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner · Aurora0.4310.000$0.00−$12.89
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs · Team Yandex0.1500.000$0.00−$4.77
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs · Nigma Galaxy0.4200.000$0.00−$9.67
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Round · Team Resilience0.2380.000$0.00−$7.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 14:21Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.001$0.50
10-28 21:30Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?BUY0.77$100.00
10-28 21:03Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?BUY0.38$29.23
09-25 10:53Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.5099999916$9.71
09-25 10:48Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.64$19.55
09-24 09:36Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.5099999916$19.42
09-24 08:38Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY0.04$2.84
09-22 21:22QFEX FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.18$75.00
09-21 14:01QFEX FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.0971049592$23.40
08-25 11:43Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.52$15.65
08-23 12:32Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.2999999813$9.61
08-23 12:30Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.3599999981$67.51
08-23 11:28Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.1299999717$3.81
08-23 11:15Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.2533453745$9.59
08-23 11:15Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.2699999837$9.60