vulcan00
0xa563d387b8e2c2ce5b27406d9bb1f917406fe3de
- Realised P&L
- $6.17
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $22.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.038 | $8.82 | −$6.18 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.095 | $3.56 | +$0.56 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.063 | $3.15 | +$2.15 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.026 | $1.97 | −$0.98 |
| Will The Boys be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? · Yes | 0.087 | 0.048 | $1.64 | −$1.36 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.066 | $1.32 | −$1.68 |
| Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.013 | $1.25 | −$2.75 |
| Will Napoli win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.005 | $1.10 | −$0.90 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.003 | $0.09 | −$3.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.80at 0.064Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in August?
- +$26.29at 0.259Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
- +$6.70at 0.437Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
- +$5.68at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
- +$5.19at 0.169Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 19:31 | Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.22 | $10.00 |
| 09-02 20:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.007 | $2.33 |
| 08-25 17:06 | Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 08-25 11:48 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 08-21 13:09 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 22? | SELL | 0.38 | $2.62 |
| 08-21 03:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 22? | BUY | 0.2899999275 | $2.00 |
| 08-21 03:06 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 21? | SELL | 0.39 | $4.00 |
| 08-20 15:14 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 21? | BUY | 0.1951219512 | $2.00 |
| 08-20 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 15:04 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 20? | SELL | 0.0555355536 | $1.85 |
| 08-20 02:09 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 20? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 02:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 20? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 02:06 | Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 08-20 01:38 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 08-17 15:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |