bila4
0xa55c88f86b060c21ffd018227a56d1ea9652b1f2
- Realised P&L
- $-3.67
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $5.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.390 | $3.25 | +$2.25 |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.070 | $1.08 | −$0.92 |
| Will Lauren Boebert resign by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.020 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
| Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 73m? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.005 | $0.47 | −$0.53 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25? · No | 0.130 | 0.034 | $0.26 | −$0.74 |
| Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.07at 0.025MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase September 8-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 14:15 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 05:32 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 73m? | BUY | 0.010580611 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 05:26 | Will Lauren Boebert resign by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0289999997 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 07:42 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 14:20 | MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase September 8-14? | BUY | 0.0231790536 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 14:10 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 10:46 | Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 07:20 | Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? | BUY | 0.0922314027 | $1.20 |