heyhellohey
0xa553dbd9277db4068ff1308e52037703b6983c98
- Realised P&L
- $498.97
- Volume
- $315.5k
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.512 | $990.80 | +$24.17 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.500 | 0.487 | $942.46 | −$24.17 |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.994 | $80.75 | +$27.92 |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.114 | $47.33 | −$286.19 |
| Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $12.06 | −$38.00 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$537.85 |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$640.18at 0.550Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
- +$593.58at 0.999Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$389.01at 0.715Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?
- +$297.36at 0.540Will MrBeast's celebrity challenge video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 1?
- +$122.59at 0.568Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:11 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%? | BUY | 0.7997837034 | $333.53 |
| 07-31 13:50 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.0061611923 | $16.02 |
| 07-31 13:35 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.0060302296 | $16.28 |
| 07-06 16:57 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | BUY | 0.109 | $10.05 |
| 07-06 16:57 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | BUY | 0.109 | $527.80 |
| 06-24 10:40 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | BUY | 0.51 | $25.50 |
| 06-24 10:37 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | BUY | 0.52 | $16.86 |
| 06-24 10:37 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | BUY | 0.52 | $26.00 |
| 06-24 10:27 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | SELL | 0.48 | $24.00 |
| 06-24 10:25 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | BUY | 0.51 | $51.00 |
| 06-24 10:25 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 06-24 10:25 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | BUY | 0.49474 | $9.89 |
| 06-24 10:13 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | BUY | 0.49 | $20.92 |
| 06-24 10:13 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | BUY | 0.485 | $48.50 |
| 06-24 10:06 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | BUY | 0.42 | $50.57 |