0xa515e65a9b0a327aca08b0a863d5d69f81b10093
0xa515e65a9b0a327aca08b0a863d5d69f81b10093
- Realised P&L
- $-24.30
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 437
- Open portfolio
- $0.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded437
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurupay FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.076 | $0.43 | +$0.25 |
| Will Franco Colapinto win the 2026 Action of the Year? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.036 | $0.18 | +$0.11 |
| Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.032 | $0.17 | −$0.03 |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.006 | $0.04 | −$0.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.67at 0.020Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goals
- +$0.87at 0.013Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.79at 0.010Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 26?
- +$0.40at 0.033GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?
- +$0.39at 0.009Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 04:41 | Will Solana dip to $50 June 22-28? | SELL | 0.0047210884 | $0.07 |
| 06-26 04:41 | Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.072 | $1.10 |
| 06-26 04:41 | Will BNB reach $800 in June? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.05 |
| 06-26 04:41 | Will David Raya score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.08 |
| 06-26 04:41 | Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.0138239896 | $0.21 |
| 06-26 04:41 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on June 26? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 06-26 04:41 | Will Anuel AA perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.11 |
| 06-26 04:41 | Will Pitbull perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.06 |
| 06-26 04:41 | Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.20 |
| 06-26 04:41 | Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 06-26 04:41 | Exact Score: Croatia 2 - 3 Ghana? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.17 |
| 06-26 04:41 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on June 27? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 06-26 04:41 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 26? | SELL | 0.0049369144 | $0.08 |
| 06-26 04:41 | Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 06-26 04:41 | Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.06 |