PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

50ShadesofGrey

0xa4fcd42731853ed3711aac964a14f442b1f6977d

Realised P&L
$4.2k
Volume
$1.68M
Markets traded
322
Open portfolio
$1.06M

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded322
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.790$474.3k+$174.3k
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5) · France0.9951.000$191.6k+$954.94
Spread: Romania (-2.5) · Sweden0.9921.000$135.0k+$945.93
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.209$125.7k−$174.3k
Spread: Italy (-3.5) · Belgium0.9791.000$82.4k+$1.7k
Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.9971.000$17.3k+$50.61
Will Sweden vs. Romania end in a draw? · No0.9991.000$16.3k+$10.21
Will Italy win on 2026-09-25? · No0.9891.000$6.8k+$75.09
Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-25? · No0.9991.000$4.0k+$2.11
Will France win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.9901.000$3.4k+$31.90
Spread: France (-4.5) · Türkiye0.9341.000$3.0k+$197.59
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25? · Up0.9991.000$437.69+$0.22
Will Romania win on 2026-09-25? · No0.9991.000$309.65+$0.16
Will Türkiye vs. France end in a draw? · No0.9901.000$209.98+$2.00
Spread: Italy (-1.5) · Belgium0.9991.000$131.40+$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 20:45Will Türkiye vs. France end in a draw?BUY0.99$32.32
09-25 20:44Will Türkiye vs. France end in a draw?BUY0.99$99.00
09-25 20:44Will France win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.99$2.6k
09-25 20:39Will Sweden vs. Romania end in a draw?BUY0.99$175.11
09-25 20:38Will Romania win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.999$203.78
09-25 20:36Will Italy vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY0.999$6.29
09-25 20:35Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.9989831686$15.1k
09-25 20:34Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.9989025302$1.2k
09-25 20:29Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.98$2.1k
09-25 20:16Will Italy win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.988$3.8k
09-25 20:16Will Italy win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.987$43.70
09-25 20:16Will Italy win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.989591032$2.3k
09-25 20:15Spread: Italy (-1.5)BUY0.999$5.00
09-25 20:14Will Italy win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.98$36.58
09-25 19:49NYA (NYA) Up or Down on September 25?BUY0.99$9.90