Sinsin021
0xa4e0b1a154ba6702ae519a79044344b8eb396392
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $106.3k
- Markets traded
- 292
- Open portfolio
- $300.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded292
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$430.60at 0.307Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
- +$303.33at 0.090Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
- +$232.46at 0.300Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2700 on June 10?
- +$145.30at 0.560Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
- +$139.53at 0.337Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 05:21 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.7199999971 | $40.00 |
| 09-04 17:43 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.7399999979 | $79.00 |
| 08-29 14:59 | Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31? | SELL | 0.38 | $28.36 |
| 08-24 04:07 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on August 24? | BUY | 0.659999998 | $26.00 |
| 08-17 14:24 | Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.369178113 | $16.40 |
| 08-17 14:24 | Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3728882834 | $13.69 |
| 08-17 14:23 | Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $7.57 |
| 08-15 18:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7399999992 | $122.00 |
| 08-15 17:53 | Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31? | BUY | 0.6699999972 | $50.00 |
| 08-14 15:15 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.858 | $89.23 |
| 08-13 06:45 | Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $20.28 |
| 08-13 06:45 | Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6754966849 | $30.00 |
| 08-13 06:45 | Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999992 | $29.00 |
| 08-12 03:58 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $17.04 |
| 08-07 04:11 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $40.00 |