PolyBot

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Traders

Sinsin021

0xa4e0b1a154ba6702ae519a79044344b8eb396392

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$106.3k
Markets traded
292
Open portfolio
$300.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded292
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.2110.954$99.17+$77.25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.7400.805$85.94+$6.94
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.? · Yes0.6290.959$60.93+$20.93
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · Yes0.7200.983$54.58+$14.58
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 29? · Yes0.4040.000$0.00$15.00
Will Iran strike Dimona by April 30? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$20.00
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 23? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00$19.14
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$8.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$5.00
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on August 24? · Yes0.6600.000$0.00$26.00
Will Iran strike Armenia by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$10.00
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11? · Yes0.5220.000$0.00$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 10? · Yes0.4580.000$0.00$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 23? · Yes0.3490.000$0.00$9.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 05:21Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.7199999971$40.00
09-04 17:43Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.7399999979$79.00
08-29 14:59Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?SELL0.38$28.36
08-24 04:07WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on August 24?BUY0.659999998$26.00
08-17 14:24Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?SELL0.369178113$16.40
08-17 14:24Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?SELL0.3728882834$13.69
08-17 14:23Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?SELL0.28$7.57
08-15 18:02Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.7399999992$122.00
08-15 17:53Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?BUY0.6699999972$50.00
08-14 15:15Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.858$89.23
08-13 06:45Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.75$20.28
08-13 06:45Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6754966849$30.00
08-13 06:45Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7899999992$29.00
08-12 03:58US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?SELL0.35$17.04
08-07 04:11Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.78$40.00