0xFfC8b6250034A9d180D43d6d30E57d304EB2e7f
0xa4cefc76440df3120a2257dd4ae691645ba1dcc5
- Realised P&L
- $736.08
- Volume
- $173.2k
- Markets traded
- 193
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded193
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.354Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?
- +$1.2kat 0.363Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5?
- +$1.1kat 0.482Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta
- +$893.55at 0.366Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
- +$794.59at 0.284Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 17:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.3353628104 | $100.00 |
| 10-08 17:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.0766054589 | $100.00 |
| 10-08 17:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.3275486111 | $188.67 |
| 10-08 16:17 | Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Petr Nesterov | BUY | 0.3799999999 | $1.4k |
| 10-08 15:56 | Braga: Zsombor Piros vs Elmer Moeller | BUY | 0.17 | $1.0k |
| 10-08 15:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 8? | BUY | 0.109 | $200.00 |
| 10-08 15:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 8? | BUY | 0.1139101124 | $50.69 |
| 10-08 15:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 8? | BUY | 0.2676219844 | $147.54 |
| 10-08 15:23 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 8? | SELL | 0.3124186411 | $752.78 |
| 10-08 12:56 | Palermo: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Yanaki Milev | BUY | 0.3799999996 | $200.00 |
| 10-08 12:55 | Nagasaki Velca vs. Shinshu Brave Warriors | SELL | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 10-08 11:08 | Cairns Taipans vs. Brisbane Bullets | SELL | 0.999 | $425.10 |
| 10-08 10:21 | Nagasaki Velca vs. Shinshu Brave Warriors | BUY | 0.62 | $18.60 |
| 10-08 10:16 | Akita Northern Happinets vs. Brave Thunders | BUY | 0.3563474388 | $200.00 |
| 10-08 09:26 | Cairns Taipans vs. Brisbane Bullets | BUY | 0.4699999999 | $200.00 |