PolyBot

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Traders

tfyj

0xa4c707c5f977a40f2d4b7b4a1fcb37e564dd3218

Realised P&L
$-8.72
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$5.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · No0.5001.000$2.00+$1.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7900.835$1.06+$0.06
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? · No0.9000.925$1.03+$0.03
Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch? · Yes0.5100.485$0.95$0.05
Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026? · Yes0.0850.000$0.00$0.42
Bulls vs. Jazz · Bulls0.8000.000$0.00$3.69
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8? · No0.0220.000$0.00$0.11
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$0.06
Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$0.12
Thunder vs. Suns · Thunder0.8300.000$0.00$11.13
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 29? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$0.10
LoL: Orzeł Barcząca Esports vs Orbit Anonymo (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs · Orbit Anonymo0.1000.000$0.00$0.50
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 59 million views on day 4? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on March 24? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$0.20
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$0.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 10:36Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
07-31 13:58US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.5$1.00
06-27 08:10Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?BUY0.9$1.00
05-10 09:05Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.7899999921$1.00
04-25 11:41US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY0.9399996992$1.00
03-04 11:08Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY0.74$1.00
03-04 11:08Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?SELL0.6$4.28
03-03 15:21Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
02-27 11:33Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?SELL0.41$2.05
02-26 15:29Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?SELL0.994$3.61
02-26 15:02Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?BUY0.5499999725$2.00
02-09 03:55US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?BUY0.9739993766$1.50
02-04 00:19Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?SELL0.982$8.57
02-02 14:30Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?BUY0.64$5.59
01-19 06:02Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.965999995$5.40