goog-ly-6-1
0xa4a12e33b8d76f0e852ebbb32fd1f64bcbefebaa
- Realised P&L
- $-73.05
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $12.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.079 | $12.64 | −$1.76 |
| Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? · No | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$96.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.24at 0.450Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$2.58at 0.330Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
- +$1.26at 0.320Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$0.77at 0.350Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
- +$0.14at 0.316Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 02:00 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $14.40 |
| 06-24 01:56 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | SELL | 0.24 | $26.02 |
| 05-22 08:36 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $29.27 |
| 05-22 08:23 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.37 | $31.08 |
| 04-03 11:12 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.33 | $27.72 |
| 04-03 11:11 | Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | SELL | 0.36 | $27.72 |
| 03-15 00:22 | Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.35 | $26.95 |
| 02-15 08:57 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.45 | $79.20 |
| 02-15 08:53 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.464 | $61.12 |
| 02-15 08:49 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.465 | $17.80 |
| 02-05 12:39 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.49 | $83.30 |
| 02-05 12:34 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.317 | $43.11 |
| 01-30 14:29 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.316 | $42.98 |
| 01-30 14:27 | Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.33 | $41.58 |
| 01-26 12:40 | Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.32 | $40.32 |