PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

El-Yacare

0xa49f62c51cc728b11fc1e84aef0a21fc9da06b2e

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$87.6k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$31.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.7560.983$19.0k+$4.4k
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · No0.6680.985$8.5k+$2.7k
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8700.961$2.2k+$211.89
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.2950.055$986.42$4.3k
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · No0.5920.155$491.83$1.4k
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.1020.119$248.26+$34.82
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0300.100$235.09+$165.14
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0550.029$25.80$22.10
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1090.001$14.93$3.3k
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0060.001$0.50$5.21

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-12 22:33Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.6$291.00
02-12 22:32Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.59$1.6k
02-02 15:21Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.073$7.52
01-30 02:33Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.1196000662$809.40
01-29 23:40Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.115$449.66
01-29 19:52Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.0933068238$7.60
01-29 19:07Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.32$22.40
01-29 19:06Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.32$141.44
01-29 18:54Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.31$93.00
01-29 18:54Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.3$10.84
01-29 18:51Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.0983762726$21.45
01-29 18:51Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.73$7.30
01-29 18:49Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.31$15.88
01-29 18:49Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.71$17.75
01-29 18:49Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.1082167343$1.4k