TammyBaxter5031
0xa48a02eec94f86b6a9be76e2bb2fab6f3cfbfcd2
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $64.4k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $302.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.979 | $166.43 | +$20.23 |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · Yes | 0.290 | 0.200 | $119.40 | −$53.73 |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.230 | $16.10 | −$14.70 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.335 | $0.67 | −$0.65 |
| Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.72 |
| OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$358.53at 0.490Will Trump say "Putin" or "Zelenskyy" while addressing the nation on December 17?
- +$180.45at 0.150Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 9 - March 15 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?
- +$133.09at 0.730Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?
- +$93.30at 0.270Will MrBeast say "Trap" during his next YouTube video?
- +$70.68at 0.180Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23 13:53 | Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $146.20 |
| 04-09 22:28 | Will SpaceX raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO? | SELL | 0.8 | $111.20 |
| 04-09 22:27 | Will SpaceX raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO? | SELL | 0.8 | $114.40 |
| 04-07 12:14 | Will SpaceX raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO? | BUY | 0.81 | $228.42 |
| 03-26 02:36 | Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026 | SELL | 0.37 | $155.03 |
| 03-25 18:25 | Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30? | SELL | 0.3 | $3.60 |
| 03-24 15:12 | Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026 | BUY | 0.46 | $192.74 |
| 03-22 13:20 | Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $451.44 |
| 03-16 19:34 | Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $427.68 |
| 03-16 02:47 | Will Powell say "Pandemic" during March press conference? | SELL | 0.37 | $100.27 |
| 03-16 01:04 | Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | SELL | 0.46 | $308.66 |
| 03-16 01:02 | Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | SELL | 0.46 | $19.78 |
| 03-16 00:49 | Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-03-06? | SELL | 0.5 | $35.00 |
| 03-15 14:21 | Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-03-06? | BUY | 0.89 | $62.30 |
| 03-15 12:43 | Will Powell say "Pandemic" during March press conference? | BUY | 0.39 | $105.69 |