0xa485dec11914c021df66586919f59a0709bfc7dd
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:36 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9499999984 | $536.53 |
| 11-01 20:35 | Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $259.61 |
| 11-01 20:35 | Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999994 | $107.69 |
| 11-01 20:35 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7199999991 | $123.07 |
| 11-01 20:35 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999981 | $92.30 |
| 11-01 20:35 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999994 | $145.19 |
| 11-01 20:35 | Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.4508820607 | $138.46 |
| 11-01 20:35 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? | BUY | 0.6623454792 | $86.53 |
| 11-01 20:35 | Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.4199999974 | $58.65 |
| 11-01 20:35 | Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.3799999995 | $212.50 |
| 11-01 20:35 | Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections? | BUY | 0.3081399821 | $120.19 |
| 11-01 20:35 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999975 | $64.42 |
| 11-01 20:35 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $173.07 |
| 11-01 20:35 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999998 | $178.84 |
| 11-01 20:34 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999992 | $277.88 |