man88
0xa455f3834fd811b88ed98bc521b64b184001de01
- Realised P&L
- $97.07
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $844.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.930 | 0.945 | $680.40 | +$10.80 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No | 0.680 | 0.805 | $80.49 | +$12.50 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.017 | $49.19 | −$154.41 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.060 | $20.40 | −$77.39 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.021 | $10.81 | −$36.65 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.280 | 0.695 | $3.48 | +$2.08 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$66.19 |
| Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$438.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$372.64at 0.603Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$128.45at 0.350Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?
- +$22.00at 0.790Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- +$16.59at 0.695Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?
- +$16.56at 0.779Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 01:06 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $669.60 |
| 09-28 01:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.83 | $83.00 |
| 09-28 01:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 08-25 09:50 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.68 | $67.99 |
| 07-20 07:48 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.09 | $45.00 |
| 07-20 07:47 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July? | BUY | 0.0497 | $49.70 |
| 07-19 23:52 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.47 |
| 07-19 13:34 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.591 | $554.86 |
| 07-19 13:33 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 07-19 13:33 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.9603328 | $96.03 |
| 07-19 13:33 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | SELL | 0.9781071 | $97.81 |
| 07-19 13:32 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.979 | $97.90 |
| 07-19 13:32 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.9 | $180.00 |
| 07-14 23:53 | Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.55 | $438.39 |
| 06-30 04:16 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.06 | $83.59 |