PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

metagarbage

0xa44d0b1338d8d9abf8310323140522777429edf1

Realised P&L
$-401.33
Volume
$147.1k
Markets traded
144
Open portfolio
$237.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded144
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes0.0890.087$135.81$1.79
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0400.036$91.25$8.75
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0370.006$8.70$41.30
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0350.001$1.41$48.59
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2370.000$0.00$50.00
Magic vs. Pistons · Magic0.2330.000$0.00$150.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.4470.000$0.00$250.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$50.00
Magic vs. Pistons · Magic0.2560.000$0.00$350.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3710.000$0.00$350.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$49.97
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$50.00
Lakers vs. Thunder · Lakers0.2850.000$0.00$50.00
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$150.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 10:52Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4899999995$350.00
09-05 10:48Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.0373487888$50.00
09-05 10:43Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4899999996$500.00
09-05 10:41Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$50.00
08-03 04:58Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?BUY0.088656378$137.60
08-03 04:56Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.04$100.00
07-19 21:21Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?SELL0.9975$471.26
07-19 21:11Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.7495921095$1000.00
07-19 21:09Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5SELL0.9952577638$193.25
07-19 19:49Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5BUY0.5149999982$100.00
07-19 19:18Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6074999995$200.00
07-19 19:15Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.4474999997$250.00
07-19 19:11Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6$400.00
07-18 21:46Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.3174999991$150.00
07-18 21:28Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.401$221.54