metagarbage
0xa44d0b1338d8d9abf8310323140522777429edf1
- Realised P&L
- $-401.33
- Volume
- $147.1k
- Markets traded
- 144
- Open portfolio
- $237.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded144
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.574Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
- +$723.57at 0.509St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros
- +$705.50at 0.697Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$626.79at 0.447Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$600.38at 0.176Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 10:52 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4899999995 | $350.00 |
| 09-05 10:48 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0373487888 | $50.00 |
| 09-05 10:43 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4899999996 | $500.00 |
| 09-05 10:41 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $50.00 |
| 08-03 04:58 | Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | BUY | 0.088656378 | $137.60 |
| 08-03 04:56 | Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.04 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 21:21 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.9975 | $471.26 |
| 07-19 21:11 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7495921095 | $1000.00 |
| 07-19 21:09 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.9952577638 | $193.25 |
| 07-19 19:49 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.5149999982 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 19:18 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6074999995 | $200.00 |
| 07-19 19:15 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.4474999997 | $250.00 |
| 07-19 19:11 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6 | $400.00 |
| 07-18 21:46 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3174999991 | $150.00 |
| 07-18 21:28 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.401 | $221.54 |