0xA435
0xa435d9eb84bf50f5d72d88023a77e8c7fd1d572d
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $187.8k
- Markets traded
- 9,048
- Open portfolio
- $4.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,048
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$233.99at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
- +$154.50at 0.485Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9AM ET
- +$153.00at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
- +$153.00at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
- +$153.00at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 00:12 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 1? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.97 |
| 07-01 00:12 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 1? | BUY | 0.69 | $6.90 |
| 06-30 23:58 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 1? | BUY | 0.97 | $9.70 |
| 06-30 23:58 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on July 1? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 06-30 23:58 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on July 1? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.97 |
| 06-30 23:52 | Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 06-30 23:52 | Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 06-30 23:52 | Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 06-30 23:52 | Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.993 | $9.93 |
| 06-30 23:52 | Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 06-30 23:52 | Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 06-30 23:52 | Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 06-30 23:52 | Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.978 | $9.78 |
| 06-30 23:38 | Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 06-30 23:38 | Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |