Yung-nobody-322
0xa429b3033162f44d6a0f5a80c5c43136dd32e1a4
- Realised P&L
- $-120.19
- Volume
- $906.24
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $21.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.373 | 0.075 | $12.12 | −$48.09 |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.038 | $7.04 | −$42.96 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.042 | $1.08 | −$24.16 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.221 | $0.76 | −$0.24 |
| Anduril IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.045 | $0.05 | −$0.95 |
| Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files? · No | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? · No | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.56at 0.180Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?
- +$9.61at 0.510Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$3.55at 0.220Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?
- +$2.22at 0.900Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$0.72at 0.580Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-26 21:52 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999958 | $23.95 |
| 12-30 18:57 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.3726109025 | $60.21 |
| 12-30 18:56 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.11 |
| 12-14 13:12 | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | BUY | 0.1799999889 | $10.69 |
| 12-14 11:55 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |
| 11-25 23:14 | Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 11-25 23:11 | Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 11-19 11:35 | Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files? | BUY | 0.7399999911 | $20.00 |
| 11-19 11:34 | Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 11-14 12:01 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 11-14 12:00 | OpenAI IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.97 | $25.24 |
| 11-14 11:57 | Anduril IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 11-14 11:45 | US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? | BUY | 0.2699999963 | $50.00 |
| 11-14 11:36 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 11-14 11:12 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $20.00 |