PolyBot

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Traders

Yung-nobody-322

0xa429b3033162f44d6a0f5a80c5c43136dd32e1a4

Realised P&L
$-120.19
Volume
$906.24
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$21.05

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-13.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration73.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.3730.075$12.12$48.09
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? · Yes0.2700.038$7.04$42.96
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.9700.042$1.08$24.16
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2900.221$0.76$0.24
Anduril IPO before 2027? · Yes0.8900.045$0.05$0.95
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files? · No0.7400.000$0.00$20.00
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? · No0.3700.000$0.00$10.00
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$10.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-26 21:52Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.1199999958$23.95
12-30 18:57Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?BUY0.3726109025$60.21
12-30 18:56Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?SELL0.002$0.11
12-14 13:12US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?BUY0.1799999889$10.69
12-14 11:55Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?BUY0.3699999771$10.00
11-25 23:14Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?BUY0.579999826$1.00
11-25 23:11Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?BUY0.92$1.00
11-19 11:35Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?BUY0.7399999911$20.00
11-19 11:34Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?BUY0.179999987$10.00
11-14 12:01Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY0.5099999786$10.00
11-14 12:00OpenAI IPO before 2027?BUY0.97$25.24
11-14 11:57Anduril IPO before 2027?BUY0.889999911$1.00
11-14 11:45US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?BUY0.2699999963$50.00
11-14 11:36Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?BUY0.0179999825$1.00
11-14 11:12Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.9$20.00