PolyBot

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Traders

0xa41372797cebfac0055776ead81db0370d63af03

0xa41372797cebfac0055776ead81db0370d63af03

Realised P&L
$2.93
Volume
$136.87
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$6.74

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.6400.945$2.20+$0.71
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? · Yes0.7300.875$1.20+$0.20
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 5 2026? · No0.7500.770$1.03+$0.03
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6? · Yes0.8000.795$0.99−$0.01
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? · No0.7000.525$0.75−$0.25
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? · No0.2200.125$0.57−$0.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 15:07Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.75$1.00
10-05 00:33Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.7$1.00
10-03 04:34Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?BUY0.8$1.00
10-02 15:27Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-02 15:25Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?BUY0.219999978$1.00
10-02 06:51Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-29 23:29Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
09-29 15:20Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.6699996918$1.00
09-29 05:57Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
09-28 21:56Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $730 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.32$1.00
09-28 13:54Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in September?BUY0.3235340269$1.00
09-28 05:07Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
09-27 21:06Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
09-27 06:21Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September?BUY0.559999776$1.00
09-26 22:16Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?BUY0.74$1.00