VechnoMolodoyy
0xa3f69589af3767b2d396e66f46daa15a195c1326
- Realised P&L
- $-265.19
- Volume
- $8.9k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $819.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.61at 0.607Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$31.58at 0.760US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
- +$30.84at 0.560Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?
- +$29.39at 0.773Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
- +$29.35at 0.161Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 17:23 | Nothing Ever Happens: August | BUY | 0.8199999908 | $50.00 |
| 08-05 16:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.5609939934 | $30.82 |
| 08-05 07:34 | Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.857902902 | $45.00 |
| 08-04 15:02 | Will Russia target Kyiv by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.672768038 | $30.00 |
| 08-03 13:26 | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.4599999983 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 17:06 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.6299999943 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 17:05 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999981 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 06:29 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | SELL | 0.5808250371 | $105.60 |
| 07-31 14:24 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999987 | $43.81 |
| 07-31 14:18 | Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 14:18 | Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 07:03 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.7811650432 | $98.64 |
| 07-31 06:21 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? | SELL | 0.977 | $101.76 |
| 07-30 12:00 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9799999831 | $50.00 |
| 07-30 11:38 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999993 | $50.00 |