0xA3af760e15e6B6bd3C43d8cf2AE6952F0a9bB7a6-1720875307802
0xa3af760e15e6b6bd3c43d8cf2ae6952f0a9bb7a6
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $1.38M
- Markets traded
- 1,777
- Open portfolio
- $16.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,777
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$686.81at 0.894US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$565.55at 0.493Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics
- +$506.94at 0.893MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$260.38at 0.784Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$214.20at 0.966US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 07:39 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.78 |
| 08-04 07:33 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.978 | $18.58 |
| 08-04 07:26 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.978 | $19.56 |
| 08-04 07:26 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.883 | $5.30 |
| 08-04 07:19 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 08-04 07:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.977 | $19.54 |
| 08-04 06:50 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.946 | $6.62 |
| 08-04 06:50 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.988 | $6.92 |
| 08-04 06:50 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.883 | $7.06 |
| 08-04 06:50 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.866 | $6.93 |
| 08-04 06:49 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.813 | $7.32 |
| 08-04 06:49 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 08-04 06:44 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.988 | $4.94 |
| 08-04 06:44 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.866 | $5.20 |
| 08-04 06:43 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.813 | $5.69 |