PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

maybeNextMonth

0xa3ae7824bf29c3a72c2f37ac242586788ecb479e

Realised P&L
$-161.02
Volume
$5.8k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$370.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · Yes0.8600.977$97.70+$11.70
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.6670.175$78.75$221.25
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · Yes0.1700.255$51.00+$17.00
Human moon landing in 2026? · No0.9370.986$49.27+$2.42
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.1900.115$43.24$28.36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9100.962$19.23+$1.03
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · Yes0.2170.115$17.25$15.25
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9160.958$9.57+$0.41
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2770.040$1.76$10.54
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1150.045$1.36$2.08
Trump on $250 bill this year? · Yes0.0900.025$1.27$3.23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00$245.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.7950.000$0.00$31.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 00:02Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.15$45.00
07-27 22:37US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.55$110.00
07-25 03:13Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?SELL0.998$99.80
07-20 22:47US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.44$4.40
07-20 22:45Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.55$110.00
07-18 01:47Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY0.784$78.40
06-25 10:03Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?BUY0.21$5.46
06-24 23:04Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.76$15.20
06-14 22:59 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?SELL0.31$40.49
06-08 23:15Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.91$182.00
06-08 23:07Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.75$150.00
05-31 23:06Trump on $250 bill this year?BUY0.09$4.50
05-28 23:07Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.86$86.00
05-28 22:46 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?SELL0.32$3.32
05-23 00:17Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.295$5.90