dalong12
0xa3a666dbb6427251dfad104bf6139b55246fac15
- Realised P&L
- $16.16
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 149
- Open portfolio
- $152.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded149
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.40at 0.420Ethereum Up or Down on February 21?
- +$19.20at 0.660Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?
- +$16.62at 0.436Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
- +$13.31at 0.763Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?
- +$11.60at 0.700Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 04:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 09-19 03:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $59.40 |
| 08-26 02:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 26? | BUY | 0.035 | $3.50 |
| 08-21 06:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | BUY | 0.192 | $7.68 |
| 08-21 02:25 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $23.22 |
| 08-10 03:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | BUY | 0.75 | $45.00 |
| 07-30 10:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 07-30 10:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? | BUY | 0.27 | $14.85 |
| 07-30 10:14 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $14.97 |
| 07-28 04:16 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 07-17 16:44 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $14.89 |
| 06-22 13:23 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 06-22 13:14 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | SELL | 0.38 | $20.90 |
| 06-17 03:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? | BUY | 0.992 | $29.75 |
| 06-15 04:48 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $21.98 |