PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dalong12

0xa3a666dbb6427251dfad104bf6139b55246fac15

Realised P&L
$16.16
Volume
$13.2k
Markets traded
149
Open portfolio
$152.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded149
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.835$41.75−$2.25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.5470.570$39.90+$1.60
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6500.565$28.25−$4.25
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9570.984$21.64+$0.58
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? · Yes0.6100.780$15.60+$3.40
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5600.115$5.75−$22.25
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$5.00
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? · No0.0370.000$0.00−$55.60
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$7.00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$5.20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 26? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00−$3.50
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$4.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 04:00Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 13?BUY0.995$4.97
09-19 03:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11PM ETBUY0.99$59.40
08-26 02:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 26?BUY0.035$3.50
08-21 06:20Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?BUY0.192$7.68
08-21 02:25US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?BUY0.988$23.22
08-10 03:29Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?BUY0.75$45.00
07-30 10:23Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?SELL0.24$4.80
07-30 10:15Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?BUY0.27$14.85
07-30 10:14US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?SELL0.998$14.97
07-28 04:16Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.25$100.00
07-17 16:44US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.993$14.89
06-22 13:23Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?BUY0.8$4.00
06-22 13:14Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?SELL0.38$20.90
06-17 03:57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17?BUY0.992$29.75
06-15 04:48US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?SELL0.999$21.98