Koosstt
0xa3a2af996e68a65d138f4ad93ad0cfa5897131db
- Realised P&L
- $-7.14
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $17.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.065 | $11.47 | −$18.53 |
| Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.029 | $6.01 | +$3.98 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m? · No | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET · Up | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.00at 0.400Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
- +$6.11at 0.450Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 28?
- +$5.64at 0.470Will Powell say "War" during March press conference?
- +$5.08at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
- +$4.83at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 14:00 | Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? | SELL | 0.0209909788 | $4.35 |
| 05-20 15:13 | Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 15:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 13:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 12:13 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999955 | $30.00 |
| 05-12 15:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 05-12 15:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | SELL | 0.31 | $3.66 |
| 05-12 15:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 05-12 15:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 05-12 15:27 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.0350042304 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 11:51 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $36.00 |
| 03-31 15:05 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 1? | BUY | 0.3639094203 | $4.46 |
| 03-31 14:52 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 03-27 15:36 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 28? | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 03-24 14:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $0.97 |