PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

txmm1

0xa39f9210eb2a4deb9d5e13c5440f5fcd6b6d01c8

Realised P&L
$105.11
Volume
$98.9k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4200.512$1.2k+$221.68
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2700.162$387.60$260.17
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8900.925$92.50+$3.50
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7400.137$54.60$241.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-30 14:52Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?SELL0.91$91.00
08-30 12:36Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.96$60.78
07-29 22:55Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.958727957$89.16
07-29 22:55Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?SELL0.9$119.70
07-23 20:39Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.28$112.00
07-23 20:38Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.43$172.00
07-23 20:34Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?BUY0.89$178.00
07-23 20:33Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.89$118.37
07-23 20:32Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.28$280.00
07-23 20:32Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.43$430.00
07-23 20:29Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?SELL0.942$753.60
07-23 20:28Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?SELL0.966$579.60
07-08 20:59Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.406$40.60
07-08 20:59Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.256$25.60
07-08 20:58Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.406$162.40