Slot.Machine.Savage
0xa39aaf9b5de58996f990a261b831f97f0b24245e
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $164.5k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $83.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.360 | $36.00 | −$18.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September? · No | 0.945 | 0.985 | $19.69 | +$0.79 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.786 | 0.798 | $15.96 | +$0.24 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · No | 0.530 | 0.380 | $11.40 | −$4.50 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.20 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? · No | 0.709 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.18 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.60 |
| Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31? · No | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.190Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$217.00at 0.930Kings vs. Trail Blazers
- +$2.97at 0.703MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
- +$2.60at 0.870Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?
- +$2.50at 0.950US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 05:02 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.786 | $15.72 |
| 09-05 07:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September? | BUY | 0.945 | $18.90 |
| 08-29 05:50 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $54.00 |
| 08-29 05:50 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | SELL | 0.46258 | $46.26 |
| 08-29 05:49 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $52.00 |
| 08-29 05:47 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $15.90 |
| 08-17 10:49 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.76 | $15.20 |
| 08-10 01:58 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $47.50 |
| 07-30 12:27 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.962649 | $19.25 |
| 07-24 03:28 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 07-10 02:42 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.1B? | BUY | 0.954 | $38.16 |
| 06-27 15:23 | Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17? | BUY | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 06-19 03:44 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.709 | $14.18 |
| 05-24 15:06 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? | BUY | 0.978 | $19.56 |
| 05-18 05:11 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.695 | $6.95 |