takeormake
0xa38a455bbdd4b68486548b7e19da99903f4f821d
- Realised P&L
- $986.4k
- Volume
- $105.82M
- Markets traded
- 11,063
- Open portfolio
- $182.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11,063
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos · Broncos | 0.378 | 0.385 | $44.0k | +$816.83 |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins · Dolphins | 0.572 | 0.615 | $41.3k | +$2.9k |
| Chargers vs. Rams · Chargers | 0.346 | 0.115 | $30.9k | −$62.1k |
| Celtics vs. Magic · Celtics | 0.775 | 1.000 | $9.0k | +$2.0k |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) · Broncos | 0.600 | 0.545 | $8.2k | −$817.89 |
| Spread: Dolphins (-1.5) · Dolphins | 0.590 | 0.585 | $7.0k | −$59.13 |
| Nets vs. Pacers · Nets | 0.439 | 0.505 | $4.0k | +$526.20 |
| Spread: Rams (-3.5) · Chargers | 0.494 | 0.220 | $3.1k | −$3.8k |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.875 | $2.3k | +$426.24 |
| Spread: Dolphins (-3.5) · Dolphins | 0.427 | 0.435 | $1.7k | +$29.19 |
| Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · No | 0.820 | 0.875 | $1.6k | +$100.49 |
| Nets vs. Pacers · Pacers | 0.517 | 0.495 | $1.6k | −$70.24 |
| Chargers vs. Rams · Rams | 0.756 | 0.885 | $1.5k | +$225.57 |
| Spread: Pacers (-2.5) · Nets | 0.460 | 0.580 | $1.3k | +$260.76 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 206.5 · Over | 0.542 | 0.710 | $1.2k | +$295.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$237.0kat 0.509Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
- +$184.6kat 0.603Panthers vs. Eagles
- +$164.2kat 0.585Vikings vs. Buccaneers
- +$152.7kat 0.483Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
- +$145.7kat 0.403Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:57 | Chiefs vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.59 | $6.49 |
| 11-01 22:57 | Celtics vs. Magic | BUY | 0.004 | $0.80 |
| 11-01 22:57 | Spread: Celtics (-8.5) | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 11-01 22:57 | Spread: Celtics (-7.5) | BUY | 0.1 | $33.90 |
| 11-01 22:57 | Celtics vs. Magic | BUY | 0.003 | $1.61 |
| 11-01 22:57 | Nets vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.45 | $52.12 |
| 11-01 22:56 | Spread: Celtics (-9.5) | BUY | 0.59 | $0.63 |
| 11-01 22:56 | Chargers vs. Rams | BUY | 0.13 | $7.15 |
| 11-01 22:56 | Spread: Nets (-3.5) | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 11-01 22:55 | Spread: Celtics (-6.5) | BUY | 0.8 | $9.60 |
| 11-01 22:55 | Spread: Celtics (-8.5) | BUY | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 11-01 22:55 | Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $4.83 |
| 11-01 22:54 | Celtics vs. Magic | BUY | 0.029 | $2.06 |
| 11-01 22:54 | Chiefs vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 11-01 22:52 | Spread: Celtics (-8.5) | BUY | 0.4166666667 | $12.50 |