takeormake
0xa38a455bbdd4b68486548b7e19da99903f4f821d
- Realised P&L
- $78.7k
- Volume
- $65.52M
- Markets traded
- 4,447
- Open portfolio
- $29.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,447
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$237.0kat 0.509Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
- +$152.7kat 0.483Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
- +$137.2kat 0.206Eagles vs. Patriots
- +$130.7kat 0.325Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$121.4kat 0.705Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:34 | Spread: Bills (-4.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $27.9k |
| 09-15 03:02 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.002 | $0.85 |
| 09-15 02:57 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.004 | $0.04 |
| 09-15 02:54 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.003 | $0.18 |
| 09-15 02:50 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.0036794872 | $1.15 |
| 09-15 02:31 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.89 | $84.81 |
| 09-15 02:31 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.11 | $1.21 |
| 09-15 02:29 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.1 | $27.20 |
| 09-15 02:29 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.1 | $1.10 |
| 09-15 02:24 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.08 | $30.08 |
| 09-15 02:22 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.07 | $38.92 |
| 09-15 02:22 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.87 | $699.22 |
| 09-15 02:20 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.14 | $1.12 |
| 09-15 02:14 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.88 | $1.1k |
| 09-15 02:05 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.87 | $2.5k |