PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

opp22

0xa3774ebae2fe31d065f7e23c5cbd499a822ea2cc

Realised P&L
$279.43
Volume
$44.4k
Markets traded
385
Open portfolio
$36.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded385
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2580.155$5.40−$3.60
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2200.127$5.15−$3.78
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0170.017$4.89−$0.10
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2300.029$2.43−$16.85
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1300.105$2.42−$0.58
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1770.065$2.21−$3.79
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0950.029$2.11−$4.89
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? · Yes0.0120.008$2.00−$1.00
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1500.095$1.90−$1.10
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · Yes0.1280.041$1.70−$3.62
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1400.045$1.62−$3.38
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.105$1.56−$2.44
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.2200.085$1.16−$1.84
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.2500.135$1.08−$0.92
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? · No0.4000.135$0.68−$1.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 17:08Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?BUY0.4$2.00
10-10 23:15UAB vs. MemphisBUY0.219999978$2.00
10-10 22:56Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?BUY0.012$3.00
09-22 02:31Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?BUY0.0259999996$1.00
09-22 02:30NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.219999978$1.00
08-31 05:22Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
08-31 05:20Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2699999656$4.00
08-31 05:20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.25$2.00
08-31 05:19Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.15$3.00
08-27 19:16Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1899999373$2.00
08-27 19:16Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1$2.00
08-27 19:15Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$1.00
08-27 19:15NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999759$5.00
08-27 05:07Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?SELL0.02$1.82
08-27 05:04Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.1299999627$3.00