PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

happy1e

0xa37090bae88057f58af339da4d37b40bb570e43c

Realised P&L
$-48.46
Volume
$115.5k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$141.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.7300.720$72.00$1.00
Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.4000.555$53.42+$14.92
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? · Yes0.1900.165$16.50$2.50
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference? · No0.6700.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 08:21Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?BUY0.19$19.00
09-17 08:20Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.73$73.00
08-12 02:34Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.85$85.00
08-12 02:33Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.4$38.50
08-12 02:32Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.003$0.71
05-29 10:28Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.002$10.98
05-29 10:27Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?SELL0.964$28.92
04-18 09:18Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?BUY0.93$158.10
04-18 09:17Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.009$79.20
02-28 09:59Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.009$81.33
02-28 09:58Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.003$22.65
01-31 10:31Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.003$22.65
01-31 10:30Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?BUY0.995$59.70
01-31 10:30Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?BUY0.983$73.20
01-31 10:29Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?SELL0.001$5.20