Cookieeater55
0xa36fa6d0a876c69419a7b9d968544a606955733d
- Realised P&L
- $-20.20
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $8.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.619 | 0.525 | $8.49 | −$1.51 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? · No | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? · No | 0.209 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET · Down | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April? · Yes | 0.255 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$79.05 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET · Up | 0.683 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.61at 0.330Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?
- +$3.07at 0.442Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
- +$2.64at 0.463Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
- +$2.40at 0.679Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$1.79at 0.990Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 21:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? | SELL | 0.8 | $1.08 |
| 09-19 21:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? | SELL | 0.43 | $5.59 |
| 09-19 20:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 20:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 20:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.3840245776 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 20:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 20:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 20:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 04:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 04:14 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $5.93 |
| 09-11 04:14 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999967 | $5.26 |
| 09-11 04:05 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 02:33 | Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |
| 08-11 18:55 | Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 04:46 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.86 |