Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-08-11
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.10. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.14. Range 0.09 to 0.14. 56 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.11	990	990
0.12	441	1,430
0.13	363	1,793
0.14	303	2,095
0.15	103	2,198
0.16	309	2,506
0.17	129	2,635
0.18	461	3,096
0.19	798	3,894
0.20	850	4,745
0.21	402	5,146
0.22	514	5,661

Spread0.01Mid0.11

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.10	1,188	1,188
0.09	216	1,404
0.08	2,130	3,534
0.07	410	3,944
0.06	704	4,648
0.05	2,531	7,179
0.04	9,074	16,253
0.03	21,902	38,155
0.02	9,118	47,273
0.01	11,289	58,562

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.90	1,188	1,188
0.91	216	1,404
0.92	2,130	3,534
0.93	410	3,944
0.94	704	4,648
0.95	2,531	7,179
0.96	9,074	16,253
0.97	21,902	38,155
0.98	9,118	47,273
0.99	11,289	58,562

Spread0.01Mid0.90

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.89	990	990
0.88	441	1,430
0.87	363	1,793
0.86	303	2,095
0.85	103	2,198
0.84	309	2,506
0.83	129	2,635
0.82	461	3,096
0.81	798	3,894
0.80	850	4,745
0.79	402	5,146
0.78	514	5,661

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
fghsrthrhrshrsth	Yes	5,000
0x616757230CFe930B016C4cde0620f58F6edE4447-1777974223801	Yes	3,200.7
0xd676535f347C3Be8A531bf08Ff1Bd417c530A859-1777974700203	Yes	2,600
hetacz	Yes	1,600
Poiuztrewq	Yes	1,405.52
Kaiji123	Yes	1,209.72
smalltimezzz	Yes	801.22
runes-leo	Yes	300
antique.aag	Yes	275
0x06702E5047E6baEE18aFEAc7Fa521Fa633A109c7-1773600248891	Yes	200
neverhackme	Yes	176.7
CrypRom	Yes	161.34
Armi131313	Yes	150.72
1111	Yes	120
akhk1245	Yes	120
oboltusovao	Yes	100
0x9afc…314b	Yes	98.12
alwayslatetotheparty	Yes	64.06
coladburco	Yes	63.45
Etherapp	Yes	58.3

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
06:05:21	BUY	Yes	0.1099999032	9	$1.00
23:01:45	BUY	Yes	0.11	42	$4.60
22:25:05	SELL	Yes	0.1	1	$0.06
22:24:12	SELL	Yes	0.1	10	$1.02
21:18:47	SELL	Yes	0.1	100	$10.00
15:58:09	BUY	Yes	0.11	98	$10.79
15:28:45	BUY	Yes	0.11	10	$1.10
09:08:05	SELL	Yes	0.1	20	$2.00
09:07:00	BUY	Yes	0.11	275	$30.25
23:52:26	BUY	Yes	0.11	10	$1.10
23:50:21	BUY	Yes	0.1099999032	9	$1.00
21:29:20	BUY	Yes	0.11	148	$16.28
20:46:02	SELL	Yes	0.1	100	$10.00
20:44:38	SELL	Yes	0.1	100	$10.00
18:06:15	BUY	Yes	0.1	20	$2.00
17:35:44	BUY	Yes	0.1	45	$4.50
16:43:59	BUY	Yes	0.1	40	$4.00
15:59:15	BUY	No	0.91	26	$23.66
15:59:14	BUY	No	0.91	10	$9.10
13:22:38	BUY	Yes	0.1	150	$15.00
11:50:18	BUY	Yes	0.1	58	$5.83
11:46:05	SELL	Yes	0.09	5	$0.45
10:56:33	BUY	Yes	0.1	15	$1.50
10:42:03	SELL	Yes	0.09	20	$1.80
10:26:03	SELL	Yes	0.09	20	$1.80