DonRicardoLagosE
0xa36450e0a87bacd4f3e38a287ce2f3ec9a7b792e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $721.3k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $888.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$933.47at 0.302US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
- +$520.00at 0.480US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
- +$370.73at 0.249Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$332.00at 0.585Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$315.86at 0.863Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 00:57 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $85.00 |
| 06-13 06:03 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.011 | $9.45 |
| 06-08 22:18 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.115 | $5.42 |
| 06-08 21:30 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.52 | $39.00 |
| 06-08 21:00 | NATO article 5 before 2027? | BUY | 0.09 | $12.03 |
| 06-08 20:59 | Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | SELL | 0.922 | $14.41 |
| 06-08 20:57 | State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? | SELL | 0.0109689022 | $11.03 |
| 06-08 19:22 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1790314014 | $50.00 |
| 05-29 01:39 | NATO article 5 before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $34.00 |
| 05-25 17:02 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.57 | $228.00 |
| 05-14 17:37 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $72.00 |
| 05-14 16:25 | State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.64 |
| 05-14 16:21 | Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.42 |
| 02-03 19:36 | Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $25.80 |
| 02-03 18:34 | Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |