PolyBot

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Traders

0xa34e290fe82c8078470156490d3217e94bee4296

0xa34e290fe82c8078470156490d3217e94bee4296

Realised P&L
$23.48
Volume
$563.05
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$66.77

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration79.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1590.145$27.31−$2.64
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.5180.597$17.55+$2.31
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.7000.385$13.52−$11.07
Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0330.044$3.54+$0.88
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.5900.340$2.96−$2.17
Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.2600.270$1.89+$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-24 01:08Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.159$29.94
10-18 19:20Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.518$15.24
10-16 22:51Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?BUY0.59$5.13
10-13 22:58Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?SELL0.9045120291$19.93
10-13 22:47Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?SELL0.933283323$15.05
10-13 22:45Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?SELL0.96$0.18
10-11 16:07Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?BUY0.033$2.65
10-03 13:21Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.53$18.60
09-11 21:18Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.7$49.16