strongdy
0xa3443f9de2cf88b0ccc7bcdcdb2af85abae8aa6f
- Realised P&L
- $24.56
- Volume
- $88.0k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $165.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $111.00 | +$0.11 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $33.00 | +$0.03 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.575 | $14.38 | +$3.13 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No | 0.932 | 0.972 | $7.30 | +$0.30 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first? · 100k | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.00at 0.470Ethereum all time high by December 31?
- +$9.29at 0.005Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$8.24at 0.672Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$4.72at 0.480Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$3.15at 0.740Solana all time high before 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 20:29 | Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.45 | $11.25 |
| 09-22 20:29 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.97 |
| 09-22 20:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $110.89 |
| 05-21 10:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? | BUY | 0.989 | $10.88 |
| 05-21 10:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $32.90 |
| 05-21 10:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $120.76 |
| 04-24 15:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.97 |
| 04-24 15:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 04-24 15:06 | Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.22 |
| 04-24 14:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9180123333 | $27.54 |
| 04-24 14:54 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | SELL | 0.955 | $12.41 |
| 04-24 14:54 | 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | SELL | 0.965 | $5.09 |
| 04-10 17:44 | Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $32.92 |
| 04-10 17:44 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $32.93 |
| 04-10 17:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April? | BUY | 0.997 | $32.89 |