PolyBot

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Traders

bcoman

0xa3407c31ede4bb851527791b3981da27e081f735

Realised P&L
$-81.47
Volume
$3.2k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$41.56

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0880.182$20.05+$10.42
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2490.162$6.28$3.42
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1400.055$3.93$6.07
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? · Yes0.1530.024$3.14$16.86
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.055$2.75$7.25
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0590.029$2.42$2.58
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0970.013$1.33$8.66
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1900.021$1.13$8.87
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1010.011$0.52$4.48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$10.00
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31? · No0.6200.000$0.00$10.00
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00$10.00
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 22? · No0.6410.000$0.00$10.00
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$5.00
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? · No0.3540.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 12:41Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.009$5.34
07-07 12:41Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.374$9.54
07-03 05:50Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
07-03 05:48Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.189999988$10.00
06-23 12:28Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0589999894$5.00
06-23 12:21Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1009999829$5.00
06-23 12:18President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY0.3543306657$5.00
06-23 12:17Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.1960229907$5.00
06-21 17:24Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.1502922292$5.01
06-17 10:53Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?BUY0.209999974$5.00
06-16 17:16Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?BUY0.2099999861$10.00
06-16 17:04Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?BUY0.149999976$5.00
06-15 21:36Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?SELL0.3152687039$14.96
06-15 07:20US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?SELL0.9$15.79
06-14 10:32Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?BUY0.5599999462$10.00