bcoman
0xa3407c31ede4bb851527791b3981da27e081f735
- Realised P&L
- $-81.47
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $41.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.98at 0.186Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
- +$9.37at 0.109Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
- +$9.17at 0.121Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
- +$5.79at 0.570US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$4.51at 0.356US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 12:41 | Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.009 | $5.34 |
| 07-07 12:41 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.374 | $9.54 |
| 07-03 05:50 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 05:48 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 06-23 12:28 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0589999894 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 12:21 | Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1009999829 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 12:18 | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY | 0.3543306657 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 12:17 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.1960229907 | $5.00 |
| 06-21 17:24 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.1502922292 | $5.01 |
| 06-17 10:53 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 06-16 17:16 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 06-16 17:04 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 21:36 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL? | SELL | 0.3152687039 | $14.96 |
| 06-15 07:20 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $15.79 |
| 06-14 10:32 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? | BUY | 0.5599999462 | $10.00 |