PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

yoyo424269

0xa314f78461e5ccab5f70580c91984b0e15d45ba7

Realised P&L
$3.7k
Volume
$498.4k
Markets traded
2,658
Open portfolio
$236.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,658
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 in September? · No0.6000.800$32.00+$8.00
Will no one dissent the October Fed decision? · No0.5700.570$22.80+$0.00
Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? · No0.6150.515$20.60$4.00
Will “Stateside + Zara Larsson” by PinkPantheress win Best Collaboration at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · Yes0.4900.515$20.60+$1.00
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 in September? · Yes0.8730.685$13.70$3.75
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 in September? · No0.2700.335$13.40+$2.60
Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September? · No0.8050.655$12.63$2.89
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 21 2026? · No0.6700.615$12.30$1.10
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000? · No0.5800.585$11.70+$0.10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.6300.280$11.20$14.00
Will Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award? · Yes0.5600.545$10.74$0.30
Will Cody Johnson win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? · No0.6500.525$10.50$2.50
Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in September? · Yes0.4350.445$8.90+$0.20
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $182 in September? · No0.3450.360$7.20+$0.30
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? · No0.4330.355$7.10$1.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 12:29US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?SELL0.032$0.02
09-18 12:29Yoon out of custody before 2027?SELL0.069$0.13
09-18 12:29Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?SELL0.003$0.01
09-18 12:29Another US debt downgrade before 2027?SELL0.06$0.14
09-18 12:28Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?SELL0.13$0.38
09-18 12:282026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseSELL0.69$0.56
09-18 12:28Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?SELL0.341$1.01
09-18 12:28Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9$2.39
09-18 12:28Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?SELL0.973$3.20
09-18 12:28Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?SELL0.956$3.30
09-18 12:27Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.96$3.84
09-18 12:27Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.93$4.27
09-18 12:25Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?SELL0.983$13.00
09-18 12:25Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?SELL0.16$4.15
09-18 12:25Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?SELL0.28$3.48