yoyo424269
0xa314f78461e5ccab5f70580c91984b0e15d45ba7
- Realised P&L
- $3.7k
- Volume
- $498.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,658
- Open portfolio
- $236.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,658
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$95.82at 0.225Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
- +$61.65at 0.552Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
- +$44.84at 0.380Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?
- +$44.32at 0.337Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
- +$40.30at 0.769Will Apple release AirTag 2 this year?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 12:29 | US national Ethereum reserve before 2027? | SELL | 0.032 | $0.02 |
| 09-18 12:29 | Yoon out of custody before 2027? | SELL | 0.069 | $0.13 |
| 09-18 12:29 | Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 09-18 12:29 | Another US debt downgrade before 2027? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.14 |
| 09-18 12:28 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.38 |
| 09-18 12:28 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | SELL | 0.69 | $0.56 |
| 09-18 12:28 | Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.341 | $1.01 |
| 09-18 12:28 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $2.39 |
| 09-18 12:28 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | SELL | 0.973 | $3.20 |
| 09-18 12:28 | Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? | SELL | 0.956 | $3.30 |
| 09-18 12:27 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $3.84 |
| 09-18 12:27 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $4.27 |
| 09-18 12:25 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? | SELL | 0.983 | $13.00 |
| 09-18 12:25 | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $4.15 |
| 09-18 12:25 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $3.48 |