0xa30728c3EA0e5cE7668236Da24A6E1D0d44Bcf74-1768862039951
0xa30728c3ea0e5ce7668236da24a6e1d0d44bcf74
- Realised P&L
- $-39.64
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $50.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.165 | $14.14 | −$3.86 |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? · Yes | 0.162 | 0.095 | $13.22 | −$9.28 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No | 0.310 | 0.185 | $13.13 | −$8.87 |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · No | 0.371 | 0.315 | $8.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? · Yes | 0.153 | 0.045 | $1.49 | −$3.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.07at 0.690US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$7.94at 0.396Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?
- +$5.00at 0.120Nothing Ever Happens: May
- +$3.06at 0.620Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?
- +$2.19at 0.104Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-31 04:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 05-31 04:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $7.50 |
| 05-31 04:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 05-31 03:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 05-31 03:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | BUY | 0.9199999963 | $10.00 |
| 05-31 03:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31? | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 05-31 03:42 | Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | SELL | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 05-28 19:43 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $9.33 |
| 05-28 19:40 | Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | SELL | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 05-28 19:37 | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0859999732 | $2.70 |
| 05-27 18:05 | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6286856464 | $10.00 |
| 05-27 08:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27? | BUY | 0.4799999827 | $10.00 |
| 05-27 08:14 | Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | BUY | 0.1431024614 | $10.00 |
| 05-26 06:01 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.3099999944 | $22.00 |
| 05-26 05:47 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SELL | 0.69 | $11.24 |