PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa30728c3EA0e5cE7668236Da24A6E1D0d44Bcf74-1768862039951

0xa30728c3ea0e5ce7668236da24a6e1d0d44bcf74

Realised P&L
$-39.64
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$50.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2100.165$14.14$3.86
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.1620.095$13.22$9.28
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.3100.185$13.13$8.87
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · No0.3710.315$8.50$1.50
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? · Yes0.1530.045$1.49$3.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-31 04:31Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETBUY0.5$5.00
05-31 04:11Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETBUY0.5$7.50
05-31 04:04Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETBUY0.52$5.20
05-31 03:59Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETBUY0.5$5.00
05-31 03:53Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETBUY0.9199999963$10.00
05-31 03:50Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?BUY0.3799999742$5.00
05-31 03:42Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? SELL0.13$6.50
05-28 19:43Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?SELL0.14$9.33
05-28 19:40Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? SELL0.13$6.50
05-28 19:37Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?BUY0.0859999732$2.70
05-27 18:05Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?BUY0.6286856464$10.00
05-27 08:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?BUY0.4799999827$10.00
05-27 08:14Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?BUY0.1431024614$10.00
05-26 06:01Nothing Ever Happens: 2026BUY0.3099999944$22.00
05-26 05:47Nothing Ever Happens: 2026SELL0.69$11.24