MCBurgerHD
0xa2fe48750b5ca09f8e1dda11da1735b2bc725334
- Realised P&L
- $1.81
- Volume
- $419.50
- Markets traded
- 137
- Open portfolio
- $11.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded137
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.885 | $5.53 | +$0.53 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage · Vitality | 0.930 | 0.905 | $1.57 | −$0.04 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.770 | 0.969 | $1.26 | +$0.26 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.945 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.829 | 0.968 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No | 0.880 | 0.973 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.577 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A · NIP | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.515 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.14at 0.700Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)
- +$1.26at 0.580New Pope in 2025?
- +$1.22at 0.620Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$1.01at 0.498Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs
- +$0.99at 0.503Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 15:25 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.9299999827 | $1.61 |
| 09-29 15:24 | Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Aimhaus (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #7 Group B | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 19:51 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 06:39 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 20:39 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5149999021 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 20:38 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5775 | $1.00 |
| 05-20 10:28 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 05-19 08:43 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 06:52 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $1.08 |
| 04-30 14:03 | Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 04-30 14:02 | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 04-22 13:42 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $3.98 |
| 04-15 20:49 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.06 |
| 04-15 20:49 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.12 |
| 04-15 20:12 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | SELL | 0.46 | $0.96 |