PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MCBurgerHD

0xa2fe48750b5ca09f8e1dda11da1735b2bc725334

Realised P&L
$1.81
Volume
$419.50
Markets traded
137
Open portfolio
$11.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded137
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.8000.885$5.53+$0.53
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage · Vitality0.9300.905$1.57−$0.04
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.7700.969$1.26+$0.26
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7600.945$1.24+$0.24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8290.968$1.17+$0.17
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8800.973$1.11+$0.11
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5770.000$0.00−$1.00
Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A · NIP0.5500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will England win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5150.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 15:25Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageBUY0.9299999827$1.61
09-29 15:24Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Aimhaus (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #7 Group BBUY0.8$1.00
09-22 19:51NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8$5.00
09-17 06:39Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group ABUY0.549999945$1.00
07-10 20:39Will England win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5149999021$1.00
07-10 20:38Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5775$1.00
05-20 10:28Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5199999834$5.00
05-19 08:43Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
05-11 06:52Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.51$1.08
04-30 14:03Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 PlayoffsBUY0.63$1.00
04-30 14:02Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group ABUY0.55$1.00
04-22 13:42US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?SELL0.995$3.98
04-15 20:49Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?SELL0.04$0.06
04-15 20:49Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?SELL0.08$0.12
04-15 20:12Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group ASELL0.46$0.96