0xa2f0b646e63add53936ae5cbb77529050157dcef
0xa2f0b646e63add53936ae5cbb77529050157dcef
- Realised P&L
- $-2.95
- Volume
- $403.94
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $2.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.202 | 0.237 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 90.5% to 92%? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.480 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.63at 0.237Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?
- +$6.63at 0.237Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$6.26at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
- +$5.33at 0.280Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:20 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.2019999612 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 16:10 | CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 90.5% to 92%? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 23:36 | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 15:08 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 21? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 07:07 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 11:06 | Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 03:06 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 06:49 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 20? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 19:54 | United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 11:51 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 01:28 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 14:29 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 06:29 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 15% to 17.5%? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 09:46 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 01:42 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |