PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

whoopityscoop

0xa2dfce78f9000f18e626a2149570a2bded61ad16

Realised P&L
$-486.42
Volume
$7.0k
Markets traded
95
Open portfolio
$197.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded95
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9350.976$53.65+$2.23
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9710.981$39.22+$0.38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.5100.695$34.75+$9.25
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8200.961$20.17+$2.95
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.8100.445$15.57$12.77
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.9450.995$14.93+$0.75
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.8980.958$9.57+$0.59
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.7730.160$4.80$18.39
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? · Yes0.7600.050$3.00$42.60
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.4100.745$1.40+$0.63
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m? · No0.6790.000$0.00$23.77
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · No0.8060.000$0.00$54.21
First to 5k: Gold or ETH? · ETH0.6000.000$0.00$24.00
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19? · Yes0.8200.000$0.00$15.58
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-06 21:17Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.7799999986$110.00
07-06 21:17Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL0.17$8.50
04-23 19:10Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?BUY0.83$4.09
03-17 11:42Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?SELL0.92275$36.91
03-12 15:34Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?BUY0.5090000033$5.60
03-06 08:02Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.003$1.50
03-06 08:01Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.003$3.00
01-31 05:07Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?BUY0.155$3.88
12-31 13:46Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?SELL0.003$0.15
11-18 20:27Paradex FDV above $5B one day after launch?BUY0.957$43.06
11-10 11:05Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?BUY0.964$24.10
11-06 23:09Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.55$33.00
10-08 21:13Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? BUY0.65$6.50
09-11 16:27No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?BUY0.976$9.76
05-16 06:25XRP above $2.50 on May 16?SELL0.86$4.30